Surrounded by fire from all sides

We were integrated, but we became polarized. We were separated into different camps. However, right now, we are in the middle of a circle surrounded by fire.

We are surrounded in a geography sprouting hot risks from Ukraine to Russia, from Armenia to Azerbaijan, from Iraq to Syria.

The process that started with the fall of pro-Russian Viktor Yanokovich in February is continuing to climb dangerously. Despite all the West’s sanctions, Moscow does not look as if it will give in. As a matter of fact, U.S. President Barack Obama, in an interview with the New York Times, said despite the sanctions, it is a possibility that Russian President Vladimir Putin will enter Ukraine. Moreover, there are warnings that an uncontrolled small spark in the region might confront countries that have nuclear power.

Likewise, the Azeri-Armenian border: Clashes have taken dozens of lives from both armies since July 26. The region has been tense for years because of the Nagorno-Karabakh issue, which is under Armenian occupation. However, tension has never been so high in recent years.

Well, why is the environment so stirred right now? There are various views on this. The first is that Baku, inspired by the Russia-Ukraine dispute, is in an effort to find a military solution to the Nagorno-Karabakh issue, which hasn’t been able to be solved politically for 20 years. The second view is that Armenia is escalating the tension upon orders from Russia. Moscow wants to hamper the energy sector of the West and is giving the message that another energy exporting country Azerbaijan may be stirred soon. The third assumption is that the United States is stirring the region. The U.S. is playing the Caucasus card to distract Russia, which has been deploying...