24h countdown to Greece’s 3rd bailout: An agreement is near

“White smoke clouds” of peace emerged from the meeting between the Greek government and creditors, signaling that an agreement is near.
The marathon meeting on Sunday ran for 12 hours with both sides agreeing to a text for the deal at around 3.30 a.m. (local time).
Finance Minister Euclid Tsakalotos and Economy Minister George Stathakis are expected at the Athens Hilton at 10 a.m. on Monday and will not leave until they have the final form of the deal in their hands.

At the meeting on Sunday, there was convergence of views as both sides agreed on one text that is to be announced and signed on Monday night.
“We are now preparing the final text, tomorrow it will be over,” said one official negotiating on Sunday.

The deal is to include pre-requisites for the first installment of the bailout tranche for Greece with a number of regulations that need to be immediately made effective. A time chart of measures until 2018 are being prepared for a loan worth 50-52 bln euros.

Questions are being left open regarding whether the measures will be enough, bearing in mind the fact that Greece’s macroeconomic scenario until 2018 has yet to be clearly examined. It is still unknown how the money will be disbursed to Greece and in which analogy (50-52 bln for the ESM, 16 bln for the IMF, 10 bln directly from purchases until 2018.)

Thorns of the agreement:
* non-performing loans
* different viewpoints in how agriculture should be handled
* emergency contribution with Greece wanting 8% for incomes over 400,000 so that incomes between 50-100,000 aren’t burdened
* creditors want a partial opening of the energy market
* VAT – the sale of meat will be at 13%, however there will be a 23% increase to private educational institutions, maybe even private schools
* early retirement issues
* labor issues, such as group contracts