Three Estimates for the Bulgaria Population by 2040 were Developed by Scientists from the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences

Three estimates for the population of Bulgaria up to 2040 have been developed by scientists from the Department of Demography at the Institute for Population and Human Investigation at the Bulgarian Academy of Sciences on a project with measures to overcome the demographic crisis in Bulgaria commissioned by the Council of Ministers of BAS .
 
In the worst case scenario, by 2040, the population in Bulgaria will number 5,860,000, while in the second option, which applies partial measures to deal with the demographic crisis, we should have 6,520,000 people, said Professor Antoaneta Hristova, Director of IINC-BAS, in the National Press Club of BTA, and added that researchers from other institutes of the Academy also took part in the study. In the most favorable version, which she thinks to be quite unrealistic, the population of Bulgaria should be 6 750 000 by 2040,

The project provides a forecast for the development of Bulgaria by 2040 or simulation options based on how many of the measures proposed under the project will be implemented, Prof. Hristova said. She said that the first option for the demographic development of Bulgaria until 2040 is called inertial, where "nothing is done and everything continues as it is now." The second is the moderate option where "something is done and something is not done". The third is the favorable option where all the measures have been implemented, and for that purpose there must be a consensus among the parties about their sustainable application over time, Prof. Hristova noted.

The director of IINC-BAS summarized that the conclusion from the simulation options is that in the following years, in any case, no matter what policies are being implemented, the number of the population in Bulgaria will decrease....