The Guardian: One in Four Europeans Vote Populist

Exclusive research shows how populists tripled their vote over the past two decades, The Guardian reports.

Populist parties have more than tripled their support in Europe in the last 20 years, securing enough votes to put their leaders into government posts in 11 countries and challenging the established political order across the continent.

The steady growth in support for European populist parties, particularly on the right, is revealed in a groundbreaking analysis of their performance in national elections in 31 European countries over two decades, conducted by the Guardian in conjunction with more than 30 leading political scientists.

The data shows that populism has been consistently on the rise since at least 1998. Two decades ago, populist parties were largely a marginal force, accounting for just 7% of votes across the continent; in the most recent national elections, one in four votes cast was for a populist party.

"Not so long ago populism was a phenomenon of the political fringes," said Matthijs Rooduijn, a political sociologist at the University of Amsterdam, who led the research project.

"Today it has become increasingly mainstream: some of the most significant recent political developments like the Brexit referendum and the election of Donald Trump cannot be understood without taking into account the rise of populism. 

"The breeding ground for populism has become increasingly fertile, and populist parties are ever more capable of reaping the rewards."

Supporters of populism say it champions the ordinary person against vested interests and hence is a vital force in any democracy. But critics say that populists in power often subvert democratic norms,...