FiveThirtyEight

In the wake of the 2024 US presidential elections, pollsters once again missed the mark in predicting the outcome, as pointed out by the French newspaper Le Figaro. This isn’t the first time, as similar miscalculations occurred in 2016 and 2020.

The first ballot for the 2024 U.S. presidential election was cast shortly after midnight in Dixville Notch, New Hampshire, marking the start of the nationwide voting process set for November 5 and 6.

One of the most uncertain election battles of all time in the United States appears to be headed for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, just three 24 hours before the crucial vote. Even the pollsters, moreover, seem to be… throwing their hands up, as almost all polls give a lead to one candidate or the other, bordering on statistical error.

On the brink of the U.S. presidential elections, are hidden voters capable of bringing about election results analogous to the unexpected “yes” of the Britons in their recent referendum concerning Britain’s exit from the European Union?

Donald Trump’s lead over Hillary Clinton in the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times national tracking poll grew to nearly six percentage points on Thursday, his largest advantage since his post-convention bounce in July.